June 23, 2009
BoingBoing and Tachyon Publications recently offered up the opportunity for people to ask questions that legendary sci-fi/fantasy author Michael Moorcock would answer. I was an avid reader of Moorcock’s books when I was a kid, and I took an even greater interest in him when I found out he was an anarchist. He wrote an interesting piece on radical politics and sci-fi called Starship Stormtroopers that I recommend to radical sci-fi types. Pebrhaps ironically, one of my favorite quotes also comes from Moorcock: “Heroes betray us. By having them, in real life, we betray ourselves.”
In any case, I pitched a question to Moorcock, and he answered it. I was a bit disappointed to see that he’s not into transhumanist sci-fi at all (hrm, maybe I need to revisit that quote of his again), but it’s good to see he’s still waving the black flag. Here’s my question (and one posed by another) and his responses:
Moorcock has been critical of authoritarian tendencies in science fiction in the past and I’m curious what he thinks about the state of modern sci-fi and if there are any authors he thinks excel or fail here. In particular I’m curious what his take is on the transhumanist genre of science fiction (Ken Macleod, Alistair Reynolds, Iain Banks, Richard Morgan, etc.) and their take on technology and politics. Also, does Moorcock still consider himself an anarchist and how does he view the prospects for a horizontal, non-hierarchical, egalitarian society actually emerging?
I’m not entirely sure about transhumanist fiction. It holds no attractions for me. Assuming I really know what it is. I’ve only really ever been interested in ‘humanist’ fiction. That is, fiction about people. As I’ve said, I don’t read sf for pleasure and very little of it for review, so I’m no expert. I think I’m probably sympathetic to the writers you mention, but personally believe political fiction should be set in at least some version of the here and now. When I want to tackle a political theme I’ll do either a Jerry Cornelius story or something like a Pyat story, making it clear to the reader what I’m doing. To abstract a theme — that is, to put it in the future — seems to move it away from relevance. Even Mieville’s Iron Council would have been more satisfying to me if he had set the story in, say, South America or Central Africa. This was always my argument about sf — that generally, by abstracting it, putting it in some ‘other place’, you lost some of the relevance. That said, I haven’t been vastly interested in technological advance since I was young. I have every sympathy with Banks, Mcleod et al, but to be honest I’ve been no more able to read more than a page of their stuff than I have Heinlein’s or Asimov’s. The moment a spaceship turns up, you’ve lost me. I tried to watch 2001 (the first time in the company of Arthur Clarke) three times and fell asleep all three times. I’ve said this many times, but the moment that big, long spaceship starts to move across the screen, I’m heading for Planet Zzzz. Can’t help it. Have nothing against people who enjoy it, but I really don’t. In fact, in some ways, I’m answering your questions under false pretences in that my preferred default reading for the past fifty years has been mostly fiction about the here and now. My favourite fantasy writers are Jonathan Carroll, Jeff VanderMeer, Jeffrey Ford and China Mieville. I still love Disch, Ballard and Bayley! ‘Light’ reading includes, as said, Wodehouse, Allingham. My favourite relatively recent 20th century literary writers are Aldous Huxley (never read Brave New World, though), Elizabeth Bowen (though I haven’t read her horror fiction!) followed by Elizabeth Taylor, Angus Wilson, Albert Camus, Blaise Cendrars, Colette, Peake I also enjoy Wells, Bennett and Pett Ridge. Favourite contemporaries include Iain Sinclair, Walter Mosley (in all his variety), Don DeLillo, Michael Chabon, Thomas Pynchon. Favourite moderns include Ford Madox Ford, Conrad, Mann, Woolf, Proust. Favourite ‘classics’ include Scott, Dumas, Balzac, Dickens, In other words, there are very few fantastic writers there, although almost all had a fantastic turn of mind.
I’ve often wondered why I had such a facility for writing fantasy, but clearly I did! So I guess I’m saying I’m not the best person to ask about transhumanist science fiction! I answer the anarchist part of the question below.
I remember in the foreword to one of your novels you said you are an optimist. I was wondering, in view of your anarchist sentiments and the current insidious morphing of England (and elsewhere) into a police state, if you still feel optimism and if so, what do you think will improve?
I remain a great optimist, though I have few theories how we’re going to get out of our present predicaments. I remain a Kropotkinist anarchist, which many people will see as unrealistic, but, if I’m unrealistic, so be it. I see my anarchism as a moral position, in that it’s scarcely a realistic political one! But from that position I can very quickly determine what action to take.
I am of course concerned about the erosion of civil liberties in our democracies. There was a wonderful period in the 60s and 70s when many of the basic liberties we now take for granted were established in the UK and US. Since around 1980 a variety of politicians under a variety of political flags have been trying to take those liberties away from us. I’m not as worried about CCTV cameras as the symbol of that erosion since they seem to have been as useful in catching crooks and crooked cops as anything else, at least so far. I am more worried about any extension of police powers, erosion of civil liberties in general and rationales allowing ‘authorities’ further unchecked, unsupervised behaviour. It’s up to us to remain vigilant and aggressively vocal wherever we can be heard. I believe we also have to extend our civil liberties, building on the gains made in that 60s/70s decade. I think we can do it, and that we have to keep a clear eye on what’s happening. Moreover we have to extend other civil rights, including the right to improve healthcare, education and the legal system according to our needs. We can do this by increasing our power at a local level and extending it up to national level. We don’t serve such ambitions by being nostalgic about a past that never really was. Politicians have always been pretty corrupt and need a good press to keep an eye on them. It’s up to us to demand the highest standards from our press and to adapt to every change in the nature of that press so that we’re clear about what’s going on. We need sturdy laws and good law-makers to ensure that we’re as far ahead of the corrupt guys as possible. If we have to take to the streets, flood our politicians’ mailboxes, make it harder for them not to hear us than to hear us and so on, then we must be prepared to spend the time doing it. We can’t afford to be lazy and there’s no point in just sitting around talking and making ourselves feel virtuous. We must feel virtuous from the actions we take not the fingers we wag at others. My argument against ‘liberal’ sf has always been that it can easily be a substitute for real action. And by action I don’t mean sentimental exhortations to our politicians to be nicer, sweeter people. We need sturdy laws and real rights. We have to let the bastards know that not only are they not above the law but that the law demands MORE of them because they have been elected to maintain it, they need to be better than the average person, not worse.
I have to say that I completely disagree with his assertion that once you place a political issue within a future setting you remove it from relevance. To me science fiction has always been about examining modern issues, and taking advantage of those future settings to explore possibilities that the here-and-now modern simply doesn’t allow.
On a side note, sci-fi author and radical Ken Macleod also took note of the question and response.
April 17, 2009
One of my recurring critiques of the anarchist movement is that it is focused too much in the past, whether that means adhering to the philosophies of thinkers who died a century ago or glorifying and seeking to replicate ad nauseum more recent victories like the Battle of Seattle. In relation to transhumanism, the anarchist movement is certainly either blind — or worse, reactionary, like the primitivists — when it comes to envisioning some of the practical and liberatory uses of technology to create the society we envision. When you factor in that anarchists hope to establish a future horizontalist social system, you would think there would be more effort placed into strategically planning how we go from here to there.
When it comes to the current economic crisis, there’s been a lot of effort to simply explain what’s going on and what the causes were. Even though there’s general acceptance that capitalism is going to be transformed once again, there’s hasn’t been much done to forecast what the outcomes might be. This is important for developing an anarchist strategy to this crisis, as the organizing to take advantage of an economic collapse is going to be quite different from organizing in anticipation of a more repressive yet social democratic state.
Guessing the future is never easy. Most futurists get it wrong, sometimes drastically so. Transformative black swans such as personal computing or the internet are often overlooked entirely. The point of playing the forecasting game isn’t too predict with absolute accuracy, however. Futurists typically assemble different scenarios that represent likely, or at least possible, outcomes, and then use these as a way to think about what *might* occur. This scenario-based approach lets people think about and prepare for the future with some flexibility, and also allows us to identify what some of the common themes are that appear in multiple scenarios and so identify those as (perhaps) more likely, or at least worthy of extra consideration.
With that in mind, I think it’d be a good exercise for anarchists to start writing up different scenarios for how this global economic crisis might play out. Perhaps there are already some scenarios out there that I haven’t stumbled across yet. I don’t have the time to write up a bunch of scenarios in detail myself, but I can at least get the ball rolling by providing some potential scenario seeds. So here are a few short blurbs on what I think some potentials outcomes might be:
Scenario #1) Business As Usual
Obama & Co. work hard to save the system and let the financial sector continue on as is. Rather than nationalization, however, the private sector gets bailed out and remains autonomous while the public takes the losses. This system is not easily sustained, however, so for an indefinite period we see increased economic hardship as the bankers continue to take risks that everyone else pays for, increased military action as the US seeks to dominate and open up new markets, and increased repression as the the state puts down those who get fed up enough to fight back.
The Quiet Coup spells out this scenario a bit:
The first involves complicated bank-by-bank deals and a continual drumbeat of (repeated) bailouts, like the ones we saw in February with Citigroup and AIG. The administration will try to muddle through, and confusion will reign.
Boris Fyodorov, the late finance minister of Russia, struggled for much of the past 20 years against oligarchs, corruption, and abuse of authority in all its forms. He liked to say that confusion and chaos were very much in the interests of the powerful—letting them take things, legally and illegally, with impunity. When inflation is high, who can say what a piece of property is really worth? When the credit system is supported by byzantine government arrangements and backroom deals, how do you know that you aren’t being fleeced?
Our future could be one in which continued tumult feeds the looting of the financial system, and we talk more and more about exactly how our oligarchs became bandits and how the economy just can’t seem to get into gear.
Scenario #2) Economic Collapse
Despite the best efforts of the financial capitalists to save their system, the crisis has already progressed too far, and the house of cards finally comes tumbling down.
Again, The Quiet Coup spelled out how this might look:
The second scenario begins more bleakly, and might end that way too. But it does provide at least some hope that we’ll be shaken out of our torpor. It goes like this: the global economy continues to deteriorate, the banking system in east-central Europe collapses, and—because eastern Europe’s banks are mostly owned by western European banks—justifiable fears of government insolvency spread throughout the Continent. Creditors take further hits and confidence falls further. The Asian economies that export manufactured goods are devastated, and the commodity producers in Latin America and Africa are not much better off. A dramatic worsening of the global environment forces the U.S. economy, already staggering, down onto both knees. The baseline growth rates used in the administration’s current budget are increasingly seen as unrealistic, and the rosy “stress scenario” that the U.S. Treasury is currently using to evaluate banks’ balance sheets becomes a source of great embarrassment.
Under this kind of pressure, and faced with the prospect of a national and global collapse, minds may become more concentrated.
The conventional wisdom among the elite is still that the current slump “cannot be as bad as the Great Depression.” This view is wrong. What we face now could, in fact, be worse than the Great Depression—because the world is now so much more interconnected and because the banking sector is now so big. We face a synchronized downturn in almost all countries, a weakening of confidence among individuals and firms, and major problems for government finances. If our leadership wakes up to the potential consequences, we may yet see dramatic action on the banking system and a breaking of the old elite. Let us hope it is not then too late.
Of course, what happens in the wake of such a collapse is a big question. It might propel us towards a regrouping of capitalism, perhaps steering towards one of the scenarios below. It could create an opening and an awakening that spurs mass action to instill a new, more egalitarian and horizontal system. It could also create an opening for a resurgent fascism (see below). Or it could be Mad Max, who knows.
Scenario #3) Neo “New Deal” Capitalism
Many people are looking back at the New Deal for methods to restore the economy. These usually incorporate initiatives like major public building projects, job and relief programs, nationalizing banks, and increased entitlement. This Alternet article spells out such a plan in detail. While it doesn’t seem that Obama’s current plan is likely to steer this way, there’s a small chance that popular pressure might force some of this into being (and this outcome is possibly preferable to the ruling financial interests than many of the other options).
Scenario #4) Reformed/Social Capitalism
Bowing to public pressure, and pressure from non-risk-taking capitalists, capitalism is forced to re-invent itself, taking on more of a social-democratic/socialist aspect. There’s already a sizable portion of the US population that is amenable to non-revolutionary forms of socialism, such as those found in many western European countries.
This scenario is spelled out a bit in Jump! You Fuckers!:
The choice is not simply between state control and private capitalism, whatever the empire-builders in the state and corporate bureaucracies would like to tell us. The structure of companies has an important, a crucial, bearing on the opportunities for financial speculation. Employee ownership reduces them to zero. A system revised at the level of transnational capital flows must also be reformed at the level of the enterprise. State bailouts should be followed by employee buyouts as a matter of course. It is only a kind of intellectual exhaustion to insist that once the economy has been nursed back to health it should be returned to the supervision of its tormentors.
As Richard Wolff points out, employee ownership and control, with oversight of management being seen as normal part of working life, will make a reformed global financial system more durable, by giving knowledge and economic power to those with an interest in defending it. Financial engineering gives way to, well, to engineering, and other materially productive activities, since owners who are also workers and future pensioners will have little interest in accelerating the balance sheet by selling assets and loading up on debt.
Employee ownership ensures a more even distribution of wealth within companies and in the wider society. And, by offering workers an alternative, it forces companies that remain privately held to pay their employees better. Trade unions need to be given enhanced powers to ensure that workers are able to secure a greater share of the wealth that they, after all, create. They can also play an important role in balancing the inevitable asymmetries of information and expertise that exist between management and the bulk of the workforce.
Kim Stanley Robinson also lists a number of suggestions for pushing things in a pro-science and pro-ecological direction. Global Guerrillas also notes a list of ways to make the capitalist system more resilient (none of which will ever fly).
Scenario #5) Transitional Economy/Servant Capitalism
In this version of the future, the social pressures brought on by new technologies (as we transhumanists are familiar with discussing) will reform capitalism into incorporating more cooperative and eco-friendly elements. This is quite similar to Scenario #4, except that new technologies are the catalysts for change that really push things along (you didn’t think I was going to leave transhumanism out of this discussion, did you?). On a longer scale, this could perhaps be looked at as a transitional phase from current capitalism to the potentials of post-scarcity opened up by nanofabrication and other abundance technologies. Key factors here include increased digital networking and connectivity (bypassing information barriers and mixing cultures), the rise of open source and other challenges to copyright like creative commons, sousveillance (universal surveillance of all by all) and the participatory panopticon, minifacturing and RepRap models, roboticization and artificial intelligence, unlocking proprietary knowledge, and so on.
From After Capitalism:
To find insights into how the current crisis might connect to these longer-term trends we need to look not to Marx, Keynes or Hayek but to the work of Carlota Perez, a Venezuelan economist whose writings are attracting growing attention.
Perez is a scholar of the long-term patterns of technological change. In Perez’s account economic cycles begin with the emergence of new technologies and infrastructures that promise great wealth; these then fuel frenzies of speculative investment, with dramatic rises in stock and other prices. During these phases finance is in the ascendant and laissez faire policies become the norm. The booms are then followed by dramatic crashes, whether in 1797, 1847, 1893, 1929 or 2008. After these crashes, and periods of turmoil, the potential of the new technologies and infrastructures is eventually realised, but only once new institutions come into being which are better aligned with the characteristics of the new economy. Once that has happened, economies then go through surges of growth as well as social progress, like the belle époque or the postwar miracle.
Before the great depression the elements of a new economy and a new society were already available—and encouraged the speculative bubbles of the 1920s. But they were neither understood by the people in power, nor were they embedded in institutions. Then, during the 1930s, the economy transformed, in Perez’s words, from one based on “steel, heavy electrical equipment, great engineering works and heavy chemistry… into a mass production system catering to consumers and the massive defence markets. Radical demand management and income redistribution innovations had to be made, of which the directly economic role of the state is perhaps the most important.” What resulted was the rise of mass consumerism, and an economy supported by new infrastructures for electricity, roads and telecommunications. During the 1930s it wasn’t clear which institutional innovations would be most successful (fascism, communism and corporatism were all contenders), but after the second world war a new model of state regulated capitalism emerged characterised by suburbs and motorways, welfare states and macroeconomic management, which underpinned postwar growth.
Seen in this light the great depression was both a disaster and an accelerator of reform. It helped to usher in new economic and welfare policies in countries like New Zealand and Sweden that later became the mainstream across the developed world. In the US it led to banking reform, the New Deal and the GI Bill of Rights. In Britain depression, as much as war, led to the creation of the welfare state and the NHS.
One implication of Perez’s work, and of Joseph Schumpeter’s before her, is that some of the old has to be swept away before the new can find its most successful forms. Propping up failing industries is in this light a risky policy. Perez suggests that we may be on the verge of another great period of institutional innovation and experiment that will lead to new compromises between the claims of capital and the claims of society and of nature. In retrospect these periodic accommodations are as integral to capitalism as financial crises—indeed it’s only through crisis and institutional reform that capitalism adapts to a changing environment and rediscovers the moral compass that is so vital for markets to work well. The late 19th century accommodation came in response to fear of revolution and gave us state pensions, universal schooling, trade unions and universal suffrage, putting paid to the ideals of 19th-century liberalism. A second accommodation came 50 years later out of depression and war, and made variants of social and Christian democracy the norm in every rich country, pushing up states’ share of GDP and introducing visible hands to guide the markets’ invisible one.***
If another great accommodation is on its way, this one will be shaped by the triple pressures of ecology, globalisation and demographics. Forecasting in detail how these might play out is pointless and, as always, there are as many malign possibilities as benign ones, from revived militarism and autarchy to stigmatisation of minorities and accelerated ecological collapse. But the new technologies—from high speed networks to new energy systems, low carbon factories to open source software and genetic medicine—have a connecting theme: each potentially remakes capitalism more clearly as a servant rather than a master, whether in the world of money, work, everyday life or the state.
Scenario #6) Global Government/Social Democracy
Thanks to globalization, capitalism no longer has borders and the world’s various state economies are increasingly intertwined. At the same time, communications and travel technologies have broken down cultural barriers and barriers to information exchange like never before (arguably spurring Islam’s current war against Western modernism). In this model, the threat of a world-wide economic collapse spurs a coalition of nation states to install a set of new, more empowered, global regulatory bodies, replacing the UN and structures of the past with the framework for a new gloval government. Over time, as this institution becomes more adept at responding to an increasingly globalized world population, it accumulates powers and responsibilities, superceding nation states in relevance. While a One world Government has generally been consigned to libertarian conspiracy theories in the past, the current situation does make it a possibility more than ever before.
From After Capitalism
Capitalism’s crisis is, of course, a global one, and has shown up the limitations of the global institutions that took shape half a century ago. China is set to become a dominant player in a strengthened IMF and World Bank, followed by India and Brazil. The G20 is edging out the G8 as the club that matters. And waiting in the wings are possible new institutions to police and manage carbon, to handle everything from global migration to the regulation of biotechnology, alongside less formal institutions to help the world’s public to engage, from e-parliaments to global campaigning platforms like Awaaz, an online newspaper.
What a global social democracy is most likely to be about, of course, is serving as a sort of “collective capitalist” force.Don Hamerquist sums this one up nicely in a response on the Three-Way Fight blog:
This is where Global Social Democracy enters the scene. The general capitalist class interest in stability and order is undermined by competing requirements for achieving it in certain national economies. This cannot be resolved by some laissez faire process any more than any other of the current issues of political economy can. It requires a state intervention, but one that will incorporate concession as well as repression. Who will decide which squeaky wheels are to get the grease? Will it be the Greek students threatening to ignite the spirit of ’68, or the bedraggled autoworkers of Michigan? An EU response will go in one direction, an U.S response will go in another direction, but ultimately there is far too little flexibility to grease everything.
This is going to be approached by some kind of global social democracy designed to materially buttress capitalist hegemony at points of stress. The material side is quite straightforward, even if it is currently difficult to see what instrumentalities will make it work. There is a less obvious ideological side that I can see working, not by distributing benefits, but by presenting a posture of willingness to do so that is being obstructed by social forces operating out of narrow self interest. This, then, will constitute the mythical ‘good’ capitalism which the metropolitan left has traditionally supported in its benighted way as an alternative to presenting its own plan of revolutionary reconstruction.
Scenario #7) Resurgent Fascism
Lest we forget that this is not just a struggle between capitalism and a more egalitarian and horizontal society, we must acknowledge the possibility of a renewed fascism. Many of the original forms of fascism grew out of the economic crises that gripped the world in the 1920s and 30s, as angered proletarians sought scapegoats and change and were seduced by appeals to populism, nationalism, and authoritarianism. We are likely to see quite a few angry prole sin the years to come, and it is likely than many of them will be seduced by the extreme right. Navigating the Storm offers one framework for this kind of resurgent fascism could play out. We’ve already seen a growing fracture in the Republican Party in recent months as party leaders first scorned and tried to distance themselves from extreme ideologues in their movement like Rush Limbaugh, but were then forced to apologize and and make amends when their large reactionary and racist mass base erupted in response.
These scenario seeds are just a start. It would be nice to see some of them fleshed out in more detail, if anyone feels up to the task. These scenarios are not, of course, even mutually exclusive — one outcome could easily lead to another. Hopefully these will at least be in some use for radicals who are seeking to strategize about what our response to this crisis may be. Preparing for an economic collapse in the near future, for example, is going to require a much different orientation than settling in for a long, protracted death-ride of neoliberal capitalism over the next few decades and a subsequent transition to social capitalism. We can’t predict which way things will go, but we can choose the strategies and tactics that will serve us best no matter which of these outcomes (or something else entirely) come to pass.
April 3, 2009
Antisocialite and I haven’t been very good lately in producing original content for this blog, but I intend to change that in the near future. Partly it’s because I have a lot of stuff floating around in my head that I’d like to crystalize and organize. Also, given both the global economic crisis and the growing relevance of transhumanism, more than ever we need to be thinking about where the future is going to take us.
A couple of weekends ago, the Four Star Anarchist Organization in Chicago helped put together a day long summit on the global economic crisis and how anarchists should address it. The nature of the economic games capitalists play make it difficult for everyday folks to grasp what’s going on, much less figure out how to respond to it. But what we’re looking at here is a crisis in capitalism that is still playing out — the sort of crisis that radicals like us dream of taking advantage of, to exploit and overturn things and establish a more egalitarian society. With no developed alternative infrastructure, however, we are not in a good position to seize on this weakness … but that doesn’t mean we should sit placidly along for the ride. So I plan on posting some notes here both to clarify my own understanding of the situation and to work out some ideas for effectively responding.
Also on my agenda is to clarify some stances and positions that I think anarcho-transhumanists should be making. The transhumanist movement has seen some interesting developments recently, and I think it’s both prudent and necessary to start establishing a left-anarchist pole within that movement to distinguish from both the right-wing/libertarian/corporate elements and the pro-state technoprogressives. This will hopefully be an ongoing project that will draw in some more libertarian socialist types and create some dialogue.
November 14, 2008
The Global Catastrophic Risks conference is going on today, preceding the Convergence transhumanist conference this weekend. Over at Avatar | Anima, John Carter McKnight was liveblogging the GCR presentations. Some of them look pretty interesting:
* Jamais Cascio on “Risks and Resilience”
* George Dvorsky on Political Extremism
* J. Storrs Hall on “The Weather Machine: Nano-Enabled Climate Control for Earth”
* James Hughes on “Building Transnational Solutions to Global Catastrophic Risks”
I suspect many of these presentations will be posted in full online soon.
June 26, 2008
Once again, we’ve fallen behind in the blogging, though not from lack of interest. Here are some random tidbits to keep you occupied until we get back on track:
* Worth reading: Towards a Democratic Conception of Science and Technology
April 26, 2008
Had a great time this past weekend at the FOR conference, even though we didn’t do the workshop we ended up getting to discuss most of the issues in another workshop. For anyone visiting from that workshop the links to the programs we talked about are over to the right under #6.
But that’s not why I’m here today. I want to discuss the announcement from PETA about the fake meat challenge. Admittedly I’m not huge fan of PETA, they often have confusing and damaging media campaigns and a bit too much of the wild eyed fanatic in most of their rank and file. But still this is a big step in the right direction.
Even though they are using the logic of capitalism to foster innovation I think in some ways it short-circuits the larger flows of global capital. This isn’t going to be a prize that is chased after by big ag companies, but by smaller inventors and innovators, and it also boosts interest in biosciences among the lay public. So in that sense it’s a multiple good. I’d love to see more of these small Ansari X prizes for more scientific fields to spur innovation among garage inventors and basement chemists.
April 16, 2008
FYI to folks in the Midwest, the annual Finding Our Roots anarchist conference is going on in Chicago this weekend. This year’s focus is on anarchist organizing. The list of workshops can be found here.
Antisocialite and I may throw together an impromptu guerrilla workshop on Sunday to talk about issues relating to @ organizing and technology — stuff like:
– technology and security culture (surveillance, sousveillance, crypto, etc)
– internet organizing, open source models, new media, hacktivism
– organizing around tech issues, universal access to tech, subverting authoritarian tech for libertarian purposes
February 13, 2008
Over at Open the Future, Jamais Cascio was recently talking about inevitable near-future events that have the capacity to radically transform our society:
You don’t have to believe in incipient singularities to recognize that 2028 — just twenty years from now — will bear very little resemblance to 2008.
A small cluster of rapidly-accelerating drivers promises to dominate the first quarter of this century. Each of these drivers, alone, has the potential to remake how we live; together, the likelihood of a fundamental transformation of our lives, our politics, our world, becomes over-determined. Moreover, these drivers are distinct but interdependent: each one exists and would be transformative on its own, but how it plays out — and the choices we’ll face when confronting it — will be contingent upon how the other drivers unfold. Twenty years isn’t a long time to make the needed changes to turn potential disaster into a new world; we have all of five US presidential terms — maximum — to completely transform, globally, every significant aspect of our material civilization.
The specific drivers he notes are:
- Climate Chaos
- Resource Collapse
- Catalytic Innovation (transformative technologies)
- Ubiquitous Transparency (surveillance state vs. sousveillance)
- New Models of Global Development
- The Rise of the Post-Hegemonic World (the weakening of American power)
As I’ve discussed in previous posts (see Will Robots Spark the Revolution?), the point behind anarcho-transhumanist projects shouldn’t be just to advocate and fight for open access to and liberatory uses of technology. One of our main priorities should be to evaluate futurist scenarios for transformative drivers like those mentioned above that have the capacity to not only shake up the world, but to create crisis points within capitalism — stages where capitalist hegemony is weakened and possibilities for revolutionary alternatives are increased. There is far too little discussion in anarchist scenarios about the future — and what is out there tends to be formulated as dire warnings of impending apocalypse or Big Brother scenarios. The primitivists, perhaps, discuss these matters, but only with a callous eye towards how they can exploit tragedy to achieve their fantasy tribal lifestyles.
What revolutionary-minded anarchists should be doing is evaluating these drivers noted above and creating a game plan. What outcomes are likely? How can we position ourselves to affect them, to strive towards outcomes we’d prefer? How can we take advantage of the weaknesses these changes will bring to the status quo? What political stances should we be making and clarifying now, in preparation for future ideological battles? What sort of movement infrastructure should we be seeking to establish, in order to create a counterpower best prepared to deal with these future scenarios? Where should we focus our organizing efforts? Our direct action?
Our movements spend far too much time trying to fight a monolithic capitalism system head-on right now, while glorifying the past, without realizing that both are going to have very little relevance on how the next 20-50 years play out. The world is going to be changing quite rapidly, and if we’re not prepared to deal with it, we’re going to have no chance in fighting for a better future. It’s adapt or die time. So let’s get to it.
January 25, 2008
So the previous owner of the anarcho-transhumanism.com site (not to be confused with this blog, anarchotranshumanism.com, no hyphen) has passed it over to us. We’re contemplating transforming it into a general resource site, focusing on both anarchist and H+ interests, and of course pushing a specific @H+ perspective. We’re also considering adding forums to the site (a free feature, unless we start exceeding bandwidth limits) to open up the discussion of @H+ and get more people involved. We’ve also discussed having an email list for that in the past, but forums may be better.
We’d like to hear what you, our relatively small audience (so far!) has to say. Would you be interested in a general resource site? Would you help build it? Are you interested in forums or an email list? Have any other ideas? Our ears are open. Please leave a comment.
November 2, 2007
So it appears that Case Western has created ‘super mice’ by way of a genetweak. Full article here.
The article itself makes for some interesting reading. The mouse is stronger, faster, more durable, lives longer, eats more but is less fat and, as the talking bobbleheads on CNN pointed out, it is sexually active longer into its lifespan. And best of all, the gene that was tweaked is one that is also present in humans.
But not to worry, say the researchers, this would never be done on humans! Bullshit. It’s fucking intellectually dishonest to present this as something that these scientists did “just for funsies and only for mice.” What kind of fucking moron actually buys that? You don’t do biomedical research on mice because you’re interested in making mice live longer, eat better, and have great sex in their old age. You just don’t. You do it because you want to improve humans. Improve them in the way you improved the mice.
By avoiding the question of whether these techniques can be developed for humans, or worse still claiming that they would never do that is utter bullshit. It’s dishonest and tries to preempt a legitimate discussion on this technique. Claiming that something is unethical and shouldn’t be used to enhance people merely ensures that discussions about the technique don’t take place in the public. And this is a discussion that should very much take place in public. Are you honestly telling me that everyone in the world is bound by the same morals as the CWRU scientists? That China, or Russia, or even DARPA isn’t creaming themselves over the idea of soldiers or workers who can work longer, live longer, are more durable? Considering all the crazy shit that DARPA has done in the past (for example check out Sharon Weinberger’s stuff or the Danger Room blog) this is basically a slam dunk homerun touchdown.
Not talking about techniques like this openly and publicly only feeds the conspiracy theory trolls of the bioconservative movement. Pretending we would never-ever seek to do something like this to humans just reinforces the paranoia that scientists are lying to us and are making a seekrit army of clones in underground bunkers somewhere. Sure, a public debate is gonna bring out the crazy, but last I checked crazy still got to participate in public debate (see: Presidential Election). Crazy is gonna sound off anyway, we may as well have a more open and honest discourse.